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icon for Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run
Desporto·Derby De Home Run

Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run

icon for Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run
Desporto·Derby De Home Run

Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run

$1,818 Vol.

13 jul 2026
Polymarket

$1,818 Vol.

Polymarket

460+ Feet

$5 Vol.

96%

480+ Feet

$45 Vol.

-

500+ Feet

$323 Vol.

51%

510+ Feet

$214 Vol.

52%

520+ Feet

$1,331 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby field features eight power hitters competing tonight at Citizens Bank Park, where the longest single home run determines the market outcome. Pre-event analysis centers on raw exit velocity, launch conditions, and individual max distances tracked this season, with Jac Caglianone posting the field's highest average exit velo on fly balls and longest average homer distance around 414 feet. Junior Caminero owns a 463-foot regular-season blast, while Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring proven track records of tape-measure shots in prior All-Star settings. Pitching matchups, including familiar bullpen catchers or coaches throwing batting practice, along with the ballpark's dimensions and potential weather, shape expectations for carry. Recent form shows hot streaks for several participants, but distance remains highly variable given the exhibition format and tiebreaker rules that advance the longest homer in case of first-round ties. Trader consensus reflects the closely contested nature among the top power profiles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,818
Data de Término
13 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby field features eight power hitters competing tonight at Citizens Bank Park, where the longest single home run determines the market outcome. Pre-event analysis centers on raw exit velocity, launch conditions, and individual max distances tracked this season, with Jac Caglianone posting the field's highest average exit velo on fly balls and longest average homer distance around 414 feet. Junior Caminero owns a 463-foot regular-season blast, while Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring proven track records of tape-measure shots in prior All-Star settings. Pitching matchups, including familiar bullpen catchers or coaches throwing batting practice, along with the ballpark's dimensions and potential weather, shape expectations for carry. Recent form shows hot streaks for several participants, but distance remains highly variable given the exhibition format and tiebreaker rules that advance the longest homer in case of first-round ties. Trader consensus reflects the closely contested nature among the top power profiles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,818
Data de Término
13 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "460+ Feet" at 96%, followed by "510+ Feet" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run" is "460+ Feet" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "510+ Feet" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Maior Home Run" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.