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icon for Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5
Desporto·MLB

Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5

icon for Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5
Desporto·MLB

Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5

Over

0% chance
Polymarket

$1,183 Vol.

Over

0% chance
Polymarket

$1,183 Vol.

If the cumulative total for home runs hit is 135 or more at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 T-Mobile Home Run Derby at Citizens Bank Park features a deep eight-man field including power leaders Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, Junior Caminero, Ben Rice, Munetaka Murakami, and others, with the venue's strong left-handed park factors supporting elevated long-ball totals. Three-round bracket structure, time limits per round, and pitching matchups introduce variability that offsets raw slugging talent and recent form, keeping the 134.5 total line tightly balanced at even implied probability. Official participant announcements, confirmed format details, and Citizens Bank Park's consistent home run tendencies have shaped trader consensus, while factors like participant fatigue, weather, or pitching adjustments could shift outcomes either direction before first pitch.

If the cumulative total for home runs hit is 135 or more at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,183
Data de Término
13 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the cumulative total for home runs hit is 135 or more at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the cumulative total for home runs hit is 135 or more at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 T-Mobile Home Run Derby at Citizens Bank Park features a deep eight-man field including power leaders Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, Junior Caminero, Ben Rice, Munetaka Murakami, and others, with the venue's strong left-handed park factors supporting elevated long-ball totals. Three-round bracket structure, time limits per round, and pitching matchups introduce variability that offsets raw slugging talent and recent form, keeping the 134.5 total line tightly balanced at even implied probability. Official participant announcements, confirmed format details, and Citizens Bank Park's consistent home run tendencies have shaped trader consensus, while factors like participant fatigue, weather, or pitching adjustments could shift outcomes either direction before first pitch.

If the cumulative total for home runs hit is 135 or more at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,183
Data de Término
13 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the cumulative total for home runs hit is 135 or more at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Total Home Runs O/U 134.5" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5" is "2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Total Home Runs O/U 134.5" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Derby de Home Run da MLB de 2026: Total de Home Runs O/U 134,5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.