The close implied probabilities around 50% reflect intense competition for the Billboard Hot 100 summit the week of August 15, with Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holding a modest 53.5% edge driven by strong country radio airplay and recent streaming gains. Multiple high-profile releases from Ariana Grande, Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, and Olivia Rodrigo create a crowded field, where fan-driven spikes in sales and platform data can quickly shift momentum. Historical patterns show that late-week surges or viral moments often decide tight races, while cross-genre appeal and promotional timing serve as key differentiators ahead of the next chart lock.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week de 15 de agosto
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week de 15 de agosto
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 82%
Boston - Stella Lefty 48%
Be Her - Ella Langley 44%
Petal - Ariana Grande 43%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
82%
Boston - Stella Lefty
48%
Be Her - Ella Langley
44%
Petal - Ariana Grande
43%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
43%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
43%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
42%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
54%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 82%
Boston - Stella Lefty 48%
Be Her - Ella Langley 44%
Petal - Ariana Grande 43%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$539 Vol.
82%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$539 Vol.
48%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$539 Vol.
44%
Petal - Ariana Grande
$0 Vol.
43%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$0 Vol.
43%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$0 Vol.
43%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$542 Vol.
42%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$34 Vol.
54%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.The close implied probabilities around 50% reflect intense competition for the Billboard Hot 100 summit the week of August 15, with Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holding a modest 53.5% edge driven by strong country radio airplay and recent streaming gains. Multiple high-profile releases from Ariana Grande, Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, and Olivia Rodrigo create a crowded field, where fan-driven spikes in sales and platform data can quickly shift momentum. Historical patterns show that late-week surges or viral moments often decide tight races, while cross-genre appeal and promotional timing serve as key differentiators ahead of the next chart lock.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Volume
$2,194Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.The close implied probabilities around 50% reflect intense competition for the Billboard Hot 100 summit the week of August 15, with Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holding a modest 53.5% edge driven by strong country radio airplay and recent streaming gains. Multiple high-profile releases from Ariana Grande, Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, and Olivia Rodrigo create a crowded field, where fan-driven spikes in sales and platform data can quickly shift momentum. Historical patterns show that late-week surges or viral moments often decide tight races, while cross-genre appeal and promotional timing serve as key differentiators ahead of the next chart lock.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$2,194Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The close implied probabilities around 50% reflect intense competition for the Billboard Hot 100 summit the week of August 15, with Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holding a modest 53.5% edge driven by strong country radio airplay and recent streaming gains. Multiple high-profile releases from Ariana Grande, Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, and Olivia Rodrigo create a crowded field, where fan-driven spikes in sales and platform data can quickly shift momentum. Historical patterns show that late-week surges or viral moments often decide tight races, while cross-genre appeal and promotional timing serve as key differentiators ahead of the next chart lock.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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