Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” the lead single from her July 31 album *Petal*, commands 97.3% implied probability of finishing at No. 2 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated August 15 because of sustained streaming volume, radio airplay, and sales momentum that has kept the track near the top since its May 29 debut at No. 1. Traders see the song’s established fanbase engagement and playlist placement as likely to outpace newer releases in a week when multiple *Petal* cuts, including the title track, are also charting. An upset would require an unexpected surge from a competing single—such as a major viral moment, surprise drop, or holiday-timed promotional push—that pushes it past Grande’s current hold while her track slips just enough to land at No. 3 or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBillboard Hot 100 #2 Semana da música de 15 de agosto
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Semana da música de 15 de agosto
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 97.2%
Petal - Ariana Grande 1.8%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 1.0%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
97%
Petal - Ariana Grande
2%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
1%
Boston - Stella Lefty
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
<1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
<1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 97.2%
Petal - Ariana Grande 1.8%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 1.0%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$2,567 Vol.
97%
Petal - Ariana Grande
$675 Vol.
2%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$295 Vol.
1%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$1,056 Vol.
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$711 Vol.
<1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$326 Vol.
<1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$512 Vol.
<1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” the lead single from her July 31 album *Petal*, commands 97.3% implied probability of finishing at No. 2 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated August 15 because of sustained streaming volume, radio airplay, and sales momentum that has kept the track near the top since its May 29 debut at No. 1. Traders see the song’s established fanbase engagement and playlist placement as likely to outpace newer releases in a week when multiple *Petal* cuts, including the title track, are also charting. An upset would require an unexpected surge from a competing single—such as a major viral moment, surprise drop, or holiday-timed promotional push—that pushes it past Grande’s current hold while her track slips just enough to land at No. 3 or lower.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
Volume
$7,246Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” the lead single from her July 31 album *Petal*, commands 97.3% implied probability of finishing at No. 2 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated August 15 because of sustained streaming volume, radio airplay, and sales momentum that has kept the track near the top since its May 29 debut at No. 1. Traders see the song’s established fanbase engagement and playlist placement as likely to outpace newer releases in a week when multiple *Petal* cuts, including the title track, are also charting. An upset would require an unexpected surge from a competing single—such as a major viral moment, surprise drop, or holiday-timed promotional push—that pushes it past Grande’s current hold while her track slips just enough to land at No. 3 or lower.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$7,246Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” the lead single from her July 31 album *Petal*, commands 97.3% implied probability of finishing at No. 2 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated August 15 because of sustained streaming volume, radio airplay, and sales momentum that has kept the track near the top since its May 29 debut at No. 1. Traders see the song’s established fanbase engagement and playlist placement as likely to outpace newer releases in a week when multiple *Petal* cuts, including the title track, are also charting. An upset would require an unexpected surge from a competing single—such as a major viral moment, surprise drop, or holiday-timed promotional push—that pushes it past Grande’s current hold while her track slips just enough to land at No. 3 or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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