Persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran conflict, have propelled June WTI crude oil (CLM26) futures to around $101 per barrel, reflecting trader consensus with a 65.5% implied probability of settling above $84. Recent spikes to $126 in late April followed Israeli strikes and supply outages peaking at 10.8 million bpd in May, per EIA estimates, while last week's EIA report showed a 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw amid refinery run builds. IEA projects a 1.78 million bpd supply deficit for 2026 despite OPEC+ modest June hikes of 188,000 bpd, supporting elevated pricing; de-escalation or demand destruction could shift odds toward $77-$84 at 19.5%. Key catalysts include weekly EIA inventories and conflict developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do Petróleo Bruto (CL) em junho?
Qual será o preço do Petróleo Bruto (CL) em junho?
>US$84 66%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 7.1%
$63-$70 3.4%
$157,248 Vol.
$157,248 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<$42
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
7%
$77-$84
20%
>US$84
66%
>US$84 66%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 7.1%
$63-$70 3.4%
$157,248 Vol.
$157,248 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<$42
$17,066 Vol.
2%
$42-$49
$5,849 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$7,037 Vol.
1%
$56-$63
$6,800 Vol.
1%
$63-$70
$20,378 Vol.
3%
$70-$77
$11,864 Vol.
7%
$77-$84
$12,999 Vol.
20%
>US$84
$75,255 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran conflict, have propelled June WTI crude oil (CLM26) futures to around $101 per barrel, reflecting trader consensus with a 65.5% implied probability of settling above $84. Recent spikes to $126 in late April followed Israeli strikes and supply outages peaking at 10.8 million bpd in May, per EIA estimates, while last week's EIA report showed a 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw amid refinery run builds. IEA projects a 1.78 million bpd supply deficit for 2026 despite OPEC+ modest June hikes of 188,000 bpd, supporting elevated pricing; de-escalation or demand destruction could shift odds toward $77-$84 at 19.5%. Key catalysts include weekly EIA inventories and conflict developments.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$157,248Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran conflict, have propelled June WTI crude oil (CLM26) futures to around $101 per barrel, reflecting trader consensus with a 65.5% implied probability of settling above $84. Recent spikes to $126 in late April followed Israeli strikes and supply outages peaking at 10.8 million bpd in May, per EIA estimates, while last week's EIA report showed a 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw amid refinery run builds. IEA projects a 1.78 million bpd supply deficit for 2026 despite OPEC+ modest June hikes of 188,000 bpd, supporting elevated pricing; de-escalation or demand destruction could shift odds toward $77-$84 at 19.5%. Key catalysts include weekly EIA inventories and conflict developments.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$157,248Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran conflict, have propelled June WTI crude oil (CLM26) futures to around $101 per barrel, reflecting trader consensus with a 65.5% implied probability of settling above $84. Recent spikes to $126 in late April followed Israeli strikes and supply outages peaking at 10.8 million bpd in May, per EIA estimates, while last week's EIA report showed a 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw amid refinery run builds. IEA projects a 1.78 million bpd supply deficit for 2026 despite OPEC+ modest June hikes of 188,000 bpd, supporting elevated pricing; de-escalation or demand destruction could shift odds toward $77-$84 at 19.5%. Key catalysts include weekly EIA inventories and conflict developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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