Skip to main content
icon for Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia

Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia

icon for Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia

Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia

Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” 47.9%

Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” 13.1%

Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” 9.7%

Rob Reiner – “The Bear” 5.3%

Polymarket

$36,111 Vol.

Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” 47.9%

Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” 13.1%

Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” 9.7%

Rob Reiner – “The Bear” 5.3%

Polymarket

$36,111 Vol.

Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking”

$9,336 Vol.

48%

Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live”

$2,454 Vol.

13%

Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay”

$4,003 Vol.

10%

Rob Reiner – “The Bear”

$10,059 Vol.

5%

Brett Goldstein – “Shrinking”

$2,036 Vol.

4%

Christopher McDonald – “Hacks”

$8,223 Vol.

4%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael J. Fox leads the market at 48% implied probability following his July 2026 Emmy nomination for the multi-episode arc as Gerry on Apple TV+’s Shrinking, marking his first acting nod in a decade and highlighting his return to the screen amid his Parkinson’s diagnosis. Traders have factored in the emotional resonance of the role, strong critical reception, and Fox’s established Emmy history across comedy and drama. Hamish Linklater (16.6%) and Connor Storrie (12.7%) sit behind as notable challengers, with Linklater recognized for Widow’s Bay and Storrie earning his first nomination for hosting Saturday Night Live. Christopher McDonald (Hacks), Rob Reiner (The Bear), and Brett Goldstein (also Shrinking) trail at single-digit odds. The September ceremony remains the key near-term catalyst, with guild and precursor momentum likely to shape any late shifts in trader consensus.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,111
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael J. Fox leads the market at 48% implied probability following his July 2026 Emmy nomination for the multi-episode arc as Gerry on Apple TV+’s Shrinking, marking his first acting nod in a decade and highlighting his return to the screen amid his Parkinson’s diagnosis. Traders have factored in the emotional resonance of the role, strong critical reception, and Fox’s established Emmy history across comedy and drama. Hamish Linklater (16.6%) and Connor Storrie (12.7%) sit behind as notable challengers, with Linklater recognized for Widow’s Bay and Storrie earning his first nomination for hosting Saturday Night Live. Christopher McDonald (Hacks), Rob Reiner (The Bear), and Brett Goldstein (also Shrinking) trail at single-digit odds. The September ceremony remains the key near-term catalyst, with guild and precursor momentum likely to shape any late shifts in trader consensus.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,111
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

icon for Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” ganhará o Emmy 2026: Melhor atriz convidada em série de comédia?

Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” ganhará o Emmy 2026: Melhor atriz convidada em série de comédia?

45%
Sim
icon for Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” vencerá o Emmy 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série dramática?

Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” vencerá o Emmy 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série dramática?

35%
Sim
icon for Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?

Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?

92%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking”" at 48%, followed by "Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live”" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia" has generated $36.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia" is "Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking”" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live”" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Melhor ator convidado em série de comédia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.