Mercedes leads the 2026 constructors’ championship by a wide margin with superior qualifying pace from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, reflected in the market’s 42% implied probability for pole at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve. Recent form shows the Mercedes W17 delivering consistent front-row lockouts, bolstered by strong straight-line speed suited to Montreal’s long straights and heavy braking zones. McLaren sits second at 32.5% thanks to Lando Norris’s sharp one-lap pace and recent podium momentum, though the team trails in overall points. Red Bull and Ferrari follow at 19.5% and 18% respectively, with Max Verstappen and Charles Leclerc capable of occasional pole challenges but lacking Mercedes’ current consistency. Midfield squads like Williams and Cadillac hold slim single-digit chances amid limited recent progress.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMercedes 43%
Mclaren Mastercard 33%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
Mercedes
43%
Mclaren Mastercard
33%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Tgr Haas
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
Mercedes 43%
Mclaren Mastercard 33%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
Mercedes
43%
Mclaren Mastercard
33%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Tgr Haas
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes leads the 2026 constructors’ championship by a wide margin with superior qualifying pace from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, reflected in the market’s 42% implied probability for pole at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve. Recent form shows the Mercedes W17 delivering consistent front-row lockouts, bolstered by strong straight-line speed suited to Montreal’s long straights and heavy braking zones. McLaren sits second at 32.5% thanks to Lando Norris’s sharp one-lap pace and recent podium momentum, though the team trails in overall points. Red Bull and Ferrari follow at 19.5% and 18% respectively, with Max Verstappen and Charles Leclerc capable of occasional pole challenges but lacking Mercedes’ current consistency. Midfield squads like Williams and Cadillac hold slim single-digit chances amid limited recent progress.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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