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icon for Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto

Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto

icon for Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto

Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto

Kimi Antonelli 27%

Lando Norris 14%

Lewis Hamilton 14%

Oscar Piastri 14%

Polymarket
NOVO

Kimi Antonelli 27%

Lando Norris 14%

Lewis Hamilton 14%

Oscar Piastri 14%

Polymarket
NOVO

Kimi Antonelli

$7 Vol.

27%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

14%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

14%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

14%

George Russell

$0 Vol.

14%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

14%

Max Verstappen

$7 Vol.

8%

Valtteri Bottas

$19 Vol.

5%

Oliver Bearman

$19 Vol.

5%

Pierre Gasly

$0 Vol.

3%

Fernando Alonso

$0 Vol.

3%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

3%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

3%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

3%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

3%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

3%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$20 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$19 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$20 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$20 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$20 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$20 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 drivers’ standings with 219 points in the dominant Mercedes, giving him the highest implied probability for Italian Grand Prix pole at Monza. The Italian driver has converted recent qualifying speed into multiple poles and victories this season, including at Spa-Francorchamps, while his home race offers added familiarity with the high-speed layout. Ferrari teammates Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, McLaren’s Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, and Mercedes stablemate George Russell sit level at 14 percent each, reflecting competitive straight-line pace across top constructors yet trailing Antonelli’s consistent edge in recent sessions. Max Verstappen trails further at 8 percent amid Red Bull’s mid-pack form.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$172
Data de Término
12 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 drivers’ standings with 219 points in the dominant Mercedes, giving him the highest implied probability for Italian Grand Prix pole at Monza. The Italian driver has converted recent qualifying speed into multiple poles and victories this season, including at Spa-Francorchamps, while his home race offers added familiarity with the high-speed layout. Ferrari teammates Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, McLaren’s Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, and Mercedes stablemate George Russell sit level at 14 percent each, reflecting competitive straight-line pace across top constructors yet trailing Antonelli’s consistent edge in recent sessions. Max Verstappen trails further at 8 percent amid Red Bull’s mid-pack form.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$172
Data de Término
12 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 27%, followed by "Lando Norris" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lando Norris" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grande Prémio da Itália: pole position do piloto" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.