Monza's high-speed layout and history of multi-car incidents or mechanical failures at key corners like Parabolica have made safety car deployments routine in recent Italian Grands Prix, driving trader consensus toward a near-certain Yes outcome. In the 2026 race, Charles Leclerc's early crash triggered an initial safety car that was upgraded to a red flag for barrier repairs, while Lance Stroll's later retirement deployed a virtual safety car that neutralized the field for several laps. These patterns reflect Monza's tendency for close racing and occasional tire or reliability issues that produce debris or stranded cars. A completely clean event without any such disruptions remains possible but statistically uncommon given the circuit's characteristics and recent form.