Trader consensus positions Netherlands as clear Group F favorite at 53.5% implied probability to top the standings ahead of Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia, bolstered by their potent squad depth featuring Virgil van Dijk and consistent recent form through qualifiers and Nations League. Japan's 26.5% reflects strong AFC qualification campaign but recent setbacks with Wataru Endo ruled out and Kaoru Mitoma's hamstring injury casting serious doubt on his availability just weeks before kickoff on June 14. Sweden's 13.5% acknowledges Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres' firepower in their freshly announced 26-man squad, tempered by Dejan Kulusevski's injury omission and playoff qualification path; Tunisia trails at 5.1% as historical group-stage underdogs lacking comparable star power.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHolanda 54%
Japão 27%
Suécia 14%
Tunísia 5.1%
$131,914 Vol.
$131,914 Vol.
Holanda
54%
Japão
27%
Suécia
14%
Tunísia
5%
Holanda 54%
Japão 27%
Suécia 14%
Tunísia 5.1%
$131,914 Vol.
$131,914 Vol.
Holanda
54%
Japão
27%
Suécia
14%
Tunísia
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Netherlands as clear Group F favorite at 53.5% implied probability to top the standings ahead of Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia, bolstered by their potent squad depth featuring Virgil van Dijk and consistent recent form through qualifiers and Nations League. Japan's 26.5% reflects strong AFC qualification campaign but recent setbacks with Wataru Endo ruled out and Kaoru Mitoma's hamstring injury casting serious doubt on his availability just weeks before kickoff on June 14. Sweden's 13.5% acknowledges Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres' firepower in their freshly announced 26-man squad, tempered by Dejan Kulusevski's injury omission and playoff qualification path; Tunisia trails at 5.1% as historical group-stage underdogs lacking comparable star power.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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