Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's allocation of 16 slots filled with top-ranked powerhouses including world No. 1 France, No. 2 Spain, No. 4 England, Portugal, and the Netherlands, alongside recent qualifier successes like Bosnia and Herzegovina's penalty shootout upset over Italy and Sweden's victory against Poland in the March 31 playoffs. South America holds steady at 20.5% thanks to direct qualifiers Argentina (No. 3, defending champions), Brazil (No. 6), Ecuador, Colombia, and Uruguay, showcasing CONMEBOL's competitive depth despite the six-slot limit. Lower odds for Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3% including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%) reflect shallower talent pools beyond standouts like Morocco (No. 8) and Japan, with the expanded 48-team format amplifying Europe's numerical and ranking advantages from the concluded qualifiers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual continente vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026?
Qual continente vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026?
Europa 73%
América do Sul 21%
África 3.6%
Ásia 2.9%
$2,140,426 Vol.
$2,140,426 Vol.
Europa
73%
América do Sul
21%
África
4%
Ásia
3%
América do Norte
2%
Oceania
<1%
Europa 73%
América do Sul 21%
África 3.6%
Ásia 2.9%
$2,140,426 Vol.
$2,140,426 Vol.
Europa
$150,430 Vol.
73%
América do Sul
$213,381 Vol.
21%
África
$1,004,117 Vol.
4%
Ásia
$259,871 Vol.
3%
América do Norte
$233,854 Vol.
2%
Oceania
$278,772 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's allocation of 16 slots filled with top-ranked powerhouses including world No. 1 France, No. 2 Spain, No. 4 England, Portugal, and the Netherlands, alongside recent qualifier successes like Bosnia and Herzegovina's penalty shootout upset over Italy and Sweden's victory against Poland in the March 31 playoffs. South America holds steady at 20.5% thanks to direct qualifiers Argentina (No. 3, defending champions), Brazil (No. 6), Ecuador, Colombia, and Uruguay, showcasing CONMEBOL's competitive depth despite the six-slot limit. Lower odds for Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3% including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%) reflect shallower talent pools beyond standouts like Morocco (No. 8) and Japan, with the expanded 48-team format amplifying Europe's numerical and ranking advantages from the concluded qualifiers.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,140,426Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's allocation of 16 slots filled with top-ranked powerhouses including world No. 1 France, No. 2 Spain, No. 4 England, Portugal, and the Netherlands, alongside recent qualifier successes like Bosnia and Herzegovina's penalty shootout upset over Italy and Sweden's victory against Poland in the March 31 playoffs. South America holds steady at 20.5% thanks to direct qualifiers Argentina (No. 3, defending champions), Brazil (No. 6), Ecuador, Colombia, and Uruguay, showcasing CONMEBOL's competitive depth despite the six-slot limit. Lower odds for Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3% including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%) reflect shallower talent pools beyond standouts like Morocco (No. 8) and Japan, with the expanded 48-team format amplifying Europe's numerical and ranking advantages from the concluded qualifiers.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,140,426Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's allocation of 16 slots filled with top-ranked powerhouses including world No. 1 France, No. 2 Spain, No. 4 England, Portugal, and the Netherlands, alongside recent qualifier successes like Bosnia and Herzegovina's penalty shootout upset over Italy and Sweden's victory against Poland in the March 31 playoffs. South America holds steady at 20.5% thanks to direct qualifiers Argentina (No. 3, defending champions), Brazil (No. 6), Ecuador, Colombia, and Uruguay, showcasing CONMEBOL's competitive depth despite the six-slot limit. Lower odds for Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3% including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%) reflect shallower talent pools beyond standouts like Morocco (No. 8) and Japan, with the expanded 48-team format amplifying Europe's numerical and ranking advantages from the concluded qualifiers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions