Spain dominates trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability to top Group H, fueled by their Euro 2024 title run, world No. 1 ranking, and unmatched squad depth with Álvaro Morata's leadership and fluid attacking rotations under Luis de la Fuente, positioning them to overpower Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia early while handling Uruguay's press. Uruguay holds 17% as Bielsa's high-intensity 4-4-2 and José María Giménez's defensive steel offer upset potential in their marquee clash, bolstered by strong CONMEBOL qualifying form. Saudi Arabia (2.8%) eyes counterattacking flair reminiscent of their 2022 Argentina shock, but recent Spanish injury updates on Nico Williams (out) and Lamine Yamal (fitness concerns) have stabilized without shifting the hierarchy, leaving Cape Verde (1.1%) as passionate debutants with minimal realistic path amid talent disparities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 80%
Uruguai 17%
Arábia Saudita 2.8%
Cabo Verde 1.0%
$174,475 Vol.
$174,475 Vol.
Espanha
80%
Uruguai
17%
Arábia Saudita
3%
Cabo Verde
1%
Espanha 80%
Uruguai 17%
Arábia Saudita 2.8%
Cabo Verde 1.0%
$174,475 Vol.
$174,475 Vol.
Espanha
80%
Uruguai
17%
Arábia Saudita
3%
Cabo Verde
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain dominates trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability to top Group H, fueled by their Euro 2024 title run, world No. 1 ranking, and unmatched squad depth with Álvaro Morata's leadership and fluid attacking rotations under Luis de la Fuente, positioning them to overpower Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia early while handling Uruguay's press. Uruguay holds 17% as Bielsa's high-intensity 4-4-2 and José María Giménez's defensive steel offer upset potential in their marquee clash, bolstered by strong CONMEBOL qualifying form. Saudi Arabia (2.8%) eyes counterattacking flair reminiscent of their 2022 Argentina shock, but recent Spanish injury updates on Nico Williams (out) and Lamine Yamal (fitness concerns) have stabilized without shifting the hierarchy, leaving Cape Verde (1.1%) as passionate debutants with minimal realistic path amid talent disparities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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