Flu hospitalization rates during week 33 in mid-August typically remain minimal due to strong seasonal suppression outside the October–May circulation window, with CDC surveillance data historically showing values clustered near or below 0.1 per 100,000 population amid low viral transmission. Trader consensus at 72.5% for exactly 0.1 reflects this baseline off-season pattern, supported by recent national influenza-like illness reports and positive test percentages staying well below epidemic thresholds. Uncertainties around minor upticks from early southern hemisphere strains or testing variability keep the >0.1 and <0.1 outcomes near even odds at 48.5% and 44.5%, pending the next official weekly update that will confirm whether observed activity aligns with climatological norms or shows any anomalous early activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTaxa de Hospitalização por Gripe Semana 33, 2026?
0,1 73%
>0,1 48%
<0,1 44%
<0,1
44%
0,1
73%
>0,1
48%
0,1 73%
>0,1 48%
<0,1 44%
<0,1
44%
0,1
73%
>0,1
48%
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flu hospitalization rates during week 33 in mid-August typically remain minimal due to strong seasonal suppression outside the October–May circulation window, with CDC surveillance data historically showing values clustered near or below 0.1 per 100,000 population amid low viral transmission. Trader consensus at 72.5% for exactly 0.1 reflects this baseline off-season pattern, supported by recent national influenza-like illness reports and positive test percentages staying well below epidemic thresholds. Uncertainties around minor upticks from early southern hemisphere strains or testing variability keep the >0.1 and <0.1 outcomes near even odds at 48.5% and 44.5%, pending the next official weekly update that will confirm whether observed activity aligns with climatological norms or shows any anomalous early activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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