Recent short-range model guidance from the ECMWF and KNMI indicates a modest warming trend over the North Sea region, with Amsterdam's July 3 maximum likely settling between 19–21°C amid variable cloud cover and light westerly flow. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include scenarios for greater marine influence or brief sunny breaks that could nudge readings a degree higher or lower. Historical July averages near 22°C provide context, but the current setup favors slightly cooler conditions than seasonal norms. Updated high-resolution runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 3?
20°C 38%
19°C 28%
21°C 22%
22°C 3.9%
NOVO
NOVO
3 jul 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
28%
20°C
38%
21°C
22%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
20°C 38%
19°C 28%
21°C 22%
22°C 3.9%
NOVO
NOVO
3 jul 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
1%
18°C
$105 Vol.
3%
19°C
$146 Vol.
28%
20°C
$43 Vol.
38%
21°C
$184 Vol.
22%
22°C
$10 Vol.
4%
23°C
$20 Vol.
2%
24°C
$50 Vol.
1%
25°C
$30 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$285 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from the ECMWF and KNMI indicates a modest warming trend over the North Sea region, with Amsterdam's July 3 maximum likely settling between 19–21°C amid variable cloud cover and light westerly flow. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include scenarios for greater marine influence or brief sunny breaks that could nudge readings a degree higher or lower. Historical July averages near 22°C provide context, but the current setup favors slightly cooler conditions than seasonal norms. Updated high-resolution runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$903Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from the ECMWF and KNMI indicates a modest warming trend over the North Sea region, with Amsterdam's July 3 maximum likely settling between 19–21°C amid variable cloud cover and light westerly flow. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include scenarios for greater marine influence or brief sunny breaks that could nudge readings a degree higher or lower. Historical July averages near 22°C provide context, but the current setup favors slightly cooler conditions than seasonal norms. Updated high-resolution runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$903Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from the ECMWF and KNMI indicates a modest warming trend over the North Sea region, with Amsterdam's July 3 maximum likely settling between 19–21°C amid variable cloud cover and light westerly flow. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include scenarios for greater marine influence or brief sunny breaks that could nudge readings a degree higher or lower. Historical July averages near 22°C provide context, but the current setup favors slightly cooler conditions than seasonal norms. Updated high-resolution runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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