Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts place the most likely daily maximum for Austin on August 26 near 103 °F under persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime insolation. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with limited afternoon moisture or cloud cover expected to cap extreme heating above 105 °F or allow significant cooling below 102 °F. Recent days of 104–107 °F readings have established a warm baseline, while the absence of a strong frontal passage or increased Gulf moisture keeps the 102–105 °F range favored in trader positioning. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final recorded high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin em 26 de agosto?
104-105°F 43%
102-103°F 40%
100-101°F 10%
108-109°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
40%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
7%
108-109°F
7%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 43%
102-103°F 40%
100-101°F 10%
108-109°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
95°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$30 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$295 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$63 Vol.
10%
102-103°F
$162 Vol.
40%
104-105°F
$183 Vol.
43%
106-107°F
$97 Vol.
7%
108-109°F
$5 Vol.
7%
110-111°F
$35 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$30 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts place the most likely daily maximum for Austin on August 26 near 103 °F under persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime insolation. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with limited afternoon moisture or cloud cover expected to cap extreme heating above 105 °F or allow significant cooling below 102 °F. Recent days of 104–107 °F readings have established a warm baseline, while the absence of a strong frontal passage or increased Gulf moisture keeps the 102–105 °F range favored in trader positioning. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$930Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts place the most likely daily maximum for Austin on August 26 near 103 °F under persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime insolation. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with limited afternoon moisture or cloud cover expected to cap extreme heating above 105 °F or allow significant cooling below 102 °F. Recent days of 104–107 °F readings have established a warm baseline, while the absence of a strong frontal passage or increased Gulf moisture keeps the 102–105 °F range favored in trader positioning. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$930Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts place the most likely daily maximum for Austin on August 26 near 103 °F under persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime insolation. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with limited afternoon moisture or cloud cover expected to cap extreme heating above 105 °F or allow significant cooling below 102 °F. Recent days of 104–107 °F readings have established a warm baseline, while the absence of a strong frontal passage or increased Gulf moisture keeps the 102–105 °F range favored in trader positioning. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final recorded high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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