Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on August 24 indicate a peak temperature centered on 104–105 °F, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave. This positions the 104–105 °F bin as the market leader at 51.5 % implied probability, with 102–103 °F close behind at 32.5 % reflecting typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical late-August averages near 96–98 °F underscore how elevated baseline conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support the current odds, while small probabilities for 106 °F or higher capture potential model shifts or localized warming. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on the 24th will likely refine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 24 de agosto?
104-105°F 52%
102-103°F 33%
106-107°F 16%
100-101°F 3%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
95°F ou menos
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
33%
104-105°F
52%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F ou mais
<1%
104-105°F 52%
102-103°F 33%
106-107°F 16%
100-101°F 3%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
95°F ou menos
$65 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$163 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$211 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$497 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$1,716 Vol.
33%
104-105°F
$1,898 Vol.
52%
106-107°F
$784 Vol.
16%
108-109°F
$265 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$361 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$181 Vol.
<1%
114°F ou mais
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on August 24 indicate a peak temperature centered on 104–105 °F, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave. This positions the 104–105 °F bin as the market leader at 51.5 % implied probability, with 102–103 °F close behind at 32.5 % reflecting typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical late-August averages near 96–98 °F underscore how elevated baseline conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support the current odds, while small probabilities for 106 °F or higher capture potential model shifts or localized warming. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on the 24th will likely refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,331Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on August 24 indicate a peak temperature centered on 104–105 °F, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave. This positions the 104–105 °F bin as the market leader at 51.5 % implied probability, with 102–103 °F close behind at 32.5 % reflecting typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical late-August averages near 96–98 °F underscore how elevated baseline conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support the current odds, while small probabilities for 106 °F or higher capture potential model shifts or localized warming. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on the 24th will likely refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,331Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on August 24 indicate a peak temperature centered on 104–105 °F, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave. This positions the 104–105 °F bin as the market leader at 51.5 % implied probability, with 102–103 °F close behind at 32.5 % reflecting typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical late-August averages near 96–98 °F underscore how elevated baseline conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support the current odds, while small probabilities for 106 °F or higher capture potential model shifts or localized warming. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations on the 24th will likely refine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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