Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles currently indicate an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This places the outcome well above the August climatological average of ~73°F amid an ongoing heat wave with daytime highs exceeding 103°F. The near-even market split between sub-71°F and 90°F+ extremes reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing, station-specific readings, and potential model shifts in cloud cover or wind before dawn, while mid-range bins capture baseline expectations for modest overnight cooling. Updated NWS guidance and radar trends through the evening will be key for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 23 de agosto?
90°F ou mais 82%
84-85°F 49%
71°F ou menos 47%
86-87°F 42%
71°F ou menos
47%
22-23°C
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
42%
90°F ou mais
82%
90°F ou mais 82%
84-85°F 49%
71°F ou menos 47%
86-87°F 42%
71°F ou menos
47%
22-23°C
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
42%
90°F ou mais
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles currently indicate an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This places the outcome well above the August climatological average of ~73°F amid an ongoing heat wave with daytime highs exceeding 103°F. The near-even market split between sub-71°F and 90°F+ extremes reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing, station-specific readings, and potential model shifts in cloud cover or wind before dawn, while mid-range bins capture baseline expectations for modest overnight cooling. Updated NWS guidance and radar trends through the evening will be key for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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