Latest National Weather Service point forecasts for coastal Los Angeles point to a high near 78°F on August 21, driven by persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow that typically moderates temperatures along the coast during late summer. This aligns with climatological August averages of 84°F at downtown stations and recent observed highs of 80°F, positioning the 80-81°F and 78-79°F brackets as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 75%. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent stronger offshore winds or clear-sky conditions, while historical data indicate only a modest chance of exceeding 83°F without an approaching thermal trough. Updated NWS briefings and morning soundings will refine the final resolution range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 21 de agosto?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 13%
73°F ou menos
<1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
30-31°C
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F ou mais
1%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 13%
73°F ou menos
<1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
30-31°C
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service point forecasts for coastal Los Angeles point to a high near 78°F on August 21, driven by persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow that typically moderates temperatures along the coast during late summer. This aligns with climatological August averages of 84°F at downtown stations and recent observed highs of 80°F, positioning the 80-81°F and 78-79°F brackets as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 75%. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent stronger offshore winds or clear-sky conditions, while historical data indicate only a modest chance of exceeding 83°F without an approaching thermal trough. Updated NWS briefings and morning soundings will refine the final resolution range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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