The observed high temperature in Austin on August 21 reached 104–105°F according to National Weather Service measurements, establishing the market consensus at near-certainty for that bin. This outcome aligns with peak summer heat driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and dry soil conditions that enhanced daytime heating across central Texas. Official station data from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites confirm the reading fell squarely in the narrow range, with no evidence of sensor discrepancies or boundary adjustments that could shift resolution. While model forecasts earlier in the week showed slight spread around 102–106°F, post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty. Rare scenarios such as a last-minute data revision by NOAA or an undetected microclimate effect remain theoretically possible but carry negligible probability given multiple redundant observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 21 de agosto?
104-105°F 100.0%
93°F ou menos <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$28,539 Vol.
$28,539 Vol.
21 ago 2026
93°F ou menos
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
100%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F ou mais
<1%
104-105°F 100.0%
93°F ou menos <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$28,539 Vol.
$28,539 Vol.
21 ago 2026
93°F ou menos
$117 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$113 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$443 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$323 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$4,394 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$7,073 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$11,411 Vol.
100%
106-107°F
$3,459 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$579 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$462 Vol.
<1%
112°F ou mais
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The observed high temperature in Austin on August 21 reached 104–105°F according to National Weather Service measurements, establishing the market consensus at near-certainty for that bin. This outcome aligns with peak summer heat driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and dry soil conditions that enhanced daytime heating across central Texas. Official station data from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites confirm the reading fell squarely in the narrow range, with no evidence of sensor discrepancies or boundary adjustments that could shift resolution. While model forecasts earlier in the week showed slight spread around 102–106°F, post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty. Rare scenarios such as a last-minute data revision by NOAA or an undetected microclimate effect remain theoretically possible but carry negligible probability given multiple redundant observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$28,539Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The observed high temperature in Austin on August 21 reached 104–105°F according to National Weather Service measurements, establishing the market consensus at near-certainty for that bin. This outcome aligns with peak summer heat driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and dry soil conditions that enhanced daytime heating across central Texas. Official station data from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites confirm the reading fell squarely in the narrow range, with no evidence of sensor discrepancies or boundary adjustments that could shift resolution. While model forecasts earlier in the week showed slight spread around 102–106°F, post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty. Rare scenarios such as a last-minute data revision by NOAA or an undetected microclimate effect remain theoretically possible but carry negligible probability given multiple redundant observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,539Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The observed high temperature in Austin on August 21 reached 104–105°F according to National Weather Service measurements, establishing the market consensus at near-certainty for that bin. This outcome aligns with peak summer heat driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and dry soil conditions that enhanced daytime heating across central Texas. Official station data from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites confirm the reading fell squarely in the narrow range, with no evidence of sensor discrepancies or boundary adjustments that could shift resolution. While model forecasts earlier in the week showed slight spread around 102–106°F, post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty. Rare scenarios such as a last-minute data revision by NOAA or an undetected microclimate effect remain theoretically possible but carry negligible probability given multiple redundant observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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