Recent forecast runs from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 23 high near 23–24 °C under broken-cloud conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on 23 °C (51 % implied probability). Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak July warmth, while current steering patterns favor modest westerly flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping 22 °C as a close second (28.5 %) if thicker cloud or a weak frontal passage develops. Higher outcomes above 25 °C carry low odds because model consensus shows insufficient subsidence or southerly advection to support stronger warming before the 23rd. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 23 de agosto?
23°C 52%
22°C 28%
24°C 15%
21°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
28%
23°C
52%
24°C
15%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 52%
22°C 28%
24°C 15%
21°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
17°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
18°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$40 Vol.
1%
20°C
$426 Vol.
2%
21°C
$66 Vol.
4%
22°C
$77 Vol.
28%
23°C
$297 Vol.
52%
24°C
$190 Vol.
15%
25°C
$62 Vol.
4%
26°C
$127 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$168 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 23 high near 23–24 °C under broken-cloud conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on 23 °C (51 % implied probability). Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak July warmth, while current steering patterns favor modest westerly flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping 22 °C as a close second (28.5 %) if thicker cloud or a weak frontal passage develops. Higher outcomes above 25 °C carry low odds because model consensus shows insufficient subsidence or southerly advection to support stronger warming before the 23rd. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,643Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 23 high near 23–24 °C under broken-cloud conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on 23 °C (51 % implied probability). Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak July warmth, while current steering patterns favor modest westerly flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping 22 °C as a close second (28.5 %) if thicker cloud or a weak frontal passage develops. Higher outcomes above 25 °C carry low odds because model consensus shows insufficient subsidence or southerly advection to support stronger warming before the 23rd. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,643Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 23 high near 23–24 °C under broken-cloud conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on 23 °C (51 % implied probability). Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak July warmth, while current steering patterns favor modest westerly flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping 22 °C as a close second (28.5 %) if thicker cloud or a weak frontal passage develops. Higher outcomes above 25 °C carry low odds because model consensus shows insufficient subsidence or southerly advection to support stronger warming before the 23rd. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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