**Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Chinese meteorological services, and European models show highs for Wuhan on August 23 clustering around 34–35°C (93–95°F), with 60–70% chances of thunderstorms.** These conditions align closely with the market's near-even split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity are sustaining elevated temperatures after a heat warning for 35°C+ readings on August 21, while increasing moisture and instability favor afternoon convection that could limit peak values. Historical August averages near 32–34°C provide context, but short-term steering patterns and model timing of rainfall introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly contested 34°C and 35°C probabilities from higher outcomes like 36°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 23 de agosto?
35°C 32%
34°C 31%
36°C 25%
33°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
15%
34°C
31%
35°C
32%
36°C
19%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
7%
35°C 32%
34°C 31%
36°C 25%
33°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
28°C or below
$165 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
1%
31°C
$88 Vol.
5%
32°C
$0 Vol.
9%
33°C
$0 Vol.
15%
34°C
$2 Vol.
31%
35°C
$27 Vol.
32%
36°C
$160 Vol.
19%
37°C
$18 Vol.
8%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Chinese meteorological services, and European models show highs for Wuhan on August 23 clustering around 34–35°C (93–95°F), with 60–70% chances of thunderstorms.** These conditions align closely with the market's near-even split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity are sustaining elevated temperatures after a heat warning for 35°C+ readings on August 21, while increasing moisture and instability favor afternoon convection that could limit peak values. Historical August averages near 32–34°C provide context, but short-term steering patterns and model timing of rainfall introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly contested 34°C and 35°C probabilities from higher outcomes like 36°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$721Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Chinese meteorological services, and European models show highs for Wuhan on August 23 clustering around 34–35°C (93–95°F), with 60–70% chances of thunderstorms.** These conditions align closely with the market's near-even split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity are sustaining elevated temperatures after a heat warning for 35°C+ readings on August 21, while increasing moisture and instability favor afternoon convection that could limit peak values. Historical August averages near 32–34°C provide context, but short-term steering patterns and model timing of rainfall introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly contested 34°C and 35°C probabilities from higher outcomes like 36°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$721Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Chinese meteorological services, and European models show highs for Wuhan on August 23 clustering around 34–35°C (93–95°F), with 60–70% chances of thunderstorms.** These conditions align closely with the market's near-even split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity are sustaining elevated temperatures after a heat warning for 35°C+ readings on August 21, while increasing moisture and instability favor afternoon convection that could limit peak values. Historical August averages near 32–34°C provide context, but short-term steering patterns and model timing of rainfall introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly contested 34°C and 35°C probabilities from higher outcomes like 36°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions