Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-August typically produces overnight lows near 26–28°C under humid conditions with light winds and frequent cloud cover from the South China Sea monsoon trough. Current Hong Kong Observatory and global model guidance point to a daily minimum around 25°C on August 21 amid thundery showers and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects consistent forecast consensus rather than any unusual cooling event. A clearer overnight sky or stronger northeasterly flow could push readings 1–2°C lower, while persistent rain or reduced wind might hold the minimum at 26°C or above; resolution depends on the official HKO station reading at the end of the 24-hour period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 21 de agosto?
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
NOVO
$34,251 Vol.
NOVO
$34,251 Vol.
21 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
NOVO
$34,251 Vol.
NOVO
$34,251 Vol.
21 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$508 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,939 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4,466 Vol.
3%
25°C
$8,017 Vol.
98%
26°C
$4,971 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,859 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,499 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,853 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,148 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$515 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-August typically produces overnight lows near 26–28°C under humid conditions with light winds and frequent cloud cover from the South China Sea monsoon trough. Current Hong Kong Observatory and global model guidance point to a daily minimum around 25°C on August 21 amid thundery showers and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects consistent forecast consensus rather than any unusual cooling event. A clearer overnight sky or stronger northeasterly flow could push readings 1–2°C lower, while persistent rain or reduced wind might hold the minimum at 26°C or above; resolution depends on the official HKO station reading at the end of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$34,251Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-August typically produces overnight lows near 26–28°C under humid conditions with light winds and frequent cloud cover from the South China Sea monsoon trough. Current Hong Kong Observatory and global model guidance point to a daily minimum around 25°C on August 21 amid thundery showers and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects consistent forecast consensus rather than any unusual cooling event. A clearer overnight sky or stronger northeasterly flow could push readings 1–2°C lower, while persistent rain or reduced wind might hold the minimum at 26°C or above; resolution depends on the official HKO station reading at the end of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,251Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-August typically produces overnight lows near 26–28°C under humid conditions with light winds and frequent cloud cover from the South China Sea monsoon trough. Current Hong Kong Observatory and global model guidance point to a daily minimum around 25°C on August 21 amid thundery showers and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects consistent forecast consensus rather than any unusual cooling event. A clearer overnight sky or stronger northeasterly flow could push readings 1–2°C lower, while persistent rain or reduced wind might hold the minimum at 26°C or above; resolution depends on the official HKO station reading at the end of the 24-hour period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions