Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for the Pearl River Delta region, where August overnight lows average near 27°C but can dip slightly under partly cloudy skies with minimal frontal influence. The overwhelming market consensus at 26°C reflects real-time integration of station observations and model consensus, which show little deviation expected by midnight. A sudden intensification of monsoon flow or heavier convective rainfall could introduce localized cooling and shift the recorded minimum downward, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 20 de agosto?
26°C 97%
25°C 4%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOVO
$35,508 Vol.
NOVO
$35,508 Vol.
20 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
97%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 97%
25°C 4%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOVO
$35,508 Vol.
NOVO
$35,508 Vol.
20 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$177 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,229 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,724 Vol.
1%
25°C
$4,188 Vol.
4%
26°C
$6,577 Vol.
97%
27°C
$6,767 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,795 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,572 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,192 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$747 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for the Pearl River Delta region, where August overnight lows average near 27°C but can dip slightly under partly cloudy skies with minimal frontal influence. The overwhelming market consensus at 26°C reflects real-time integration of station observations and model consensus, which show little deviation expected by midnight. A sudden intensification of monsoon flow or heavier convective rainfall could introduce localized cooling and shift the recorded minimum downward, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$35,508Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for the Pearl River Delta region, where August overnight lows average near 27°C but can dip slightly under partly cloudy skies with minimal frontal influence. The overwhelming market consensus at 26°C reflects real-time integration of station observations and model consensus, which show little deviation expected by midnight. A sudden intensification of monsoon flow or heavier convective rainfall could introduce localized cooling and shift the recorded minimum downward, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,508Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for the Pearl River Delta region, where August overnight lows average near 27°C but can dip slightly under partly cloudy skies with minimal frontal influence. The overwhelming market consensus at 26°C reflects real-time integration of station observations and model consensus, which show little deviation expected by midnight. A sudden intensification of monsoon flow or heavier convective rainfall could introduce localized cooling and shift the recorded minimum downward, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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