Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown in Paris by August 20, with a shift to Atlantic air masses bringing increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit daytime heating after mid-August highs near 33–38°C. Ensemble spreads from systems like the ECMWF show highest temperatures clustered around 24–26°C, with 24°C and 25°C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing due to small uncertainties in exact frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the narrow probability gap between these two reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of short-range guidance two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 20 de agosto?
24°C 45%
25°C 39%
26°C 12%
23°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
45%
25°C
39%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 39%
26°C 12%
23°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
19°C or below
$117 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$107 Vol.
1%
21°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
6%
23°C
$194 Vol.
7%
24°C
$258 Vol.
45%
25°C
$384 Vol.
39%
26°C
$266 Vol.
12%
27°C
$234 Vol.
6%
28°C
$271 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown in Paris by August 20, with a shift to Atlantic air masses bringing increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit daytime heating after mid-August highs near 33–38°C. Ensemble spreads from systems like the ECMWF show highest temperatures clustered around 24–26°C, with 24°C and 25°C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing due to small uncertainties in exact frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the narrow probability gap between these two reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of short-range guidance two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,198Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown in Paris by August 20, with a shift to Atlantic air masses bringing increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit daytime heating after mid-August highs near 33–38°C. Ensemble spreads from systems like the ECMWF show highest temperatures clustered around 24–26°C, with 24°C and 25°C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing due to small uncertainties in exact frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the narrow probability gap between these two reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of short-range guidance two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,198Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown in Paris by August 20, with a shift to Atlantic air masses bringing increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit daytime heating after mid-August highs near 33–38°C. Ensemble spreads from systems like the ECMWF show highest temperatures clustered around 24–26°C, with 24°C and 25°C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing due to small uncertainties in exact frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, while the narrow probability gap between these two reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of short-range guidance two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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