Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models points to a stabilizing high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula after early August's extreme heatwave, favoring partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on August 18 with daytime highs centered near 30–32°C in the Incheon/Seoul area. Traders have clustered probabilities around 30°C (36%) and 31°C (29%) because model runs show limited afternoon heating potential from modest humidity and variable cloud cover, while steering patterns reduce the risk of stronger onshore flow. Historical August climatology for Incheon places average daily maxima near 29–31°C, providing context for why 32°C or higher remains a lower-probability tail (under 16% combined) absent unexpected clear skies or warmer advection. Updated model guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 18 de agosto?
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
29°C 21%
32°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
21%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
29°C 21%
32°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
23°C or below
$481 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$213 Vol.
1%
26°C
$40 Vol.
3%
27°C
$91 Vol.
3%
28°C
$28 Vol.
11%
29°C
$18 Vol.
21%
30°C
$19 Vol.
31%
31°C
$11 Vol.
29%
32°C
$7 Vol.
13%
33°C or higher
$48 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models points to a stabilizing high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula after early August's extreme heatwave, favoring partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on August 18 with daytime highs centered near 30–32°C in the Incheon/Seoul area. Traders have clustered probabilities around 30°C (36%) and 31°C (29%) because model runs show limited afternoon heating potential from modest humidity and variable cloud cover, while steering patterns reduce the risk of stronger onshore flow. Historical August climatology for Incheon places average daily maxima near 29–31°C, providing context for why 32°C or higher remains a lower-probability tail (under 16% combined) absent unexpected clear skies or warmer advection. Updated model guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,384Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models points to a stabilizing high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula after early August's extreme heatwave, favoring partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on August 18 with daytime highs centered near 30–32°C in the Incheon/Seoul area. Traders have clustered probabilities around 30°C (36%) and 31°C (29%) because model runs show limited afternoon heating potential from modest humidity and variable cloud cover, while steering patterns reduce the risk of stronger onshore flow. Historical August climatology for Incheon places average daily maxima near 29–31°C, providing context for why 32°C or higher remains a lower-probability tail (under 16% combined) absent unexpected clear skies or warmer advection. Updated model guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,384Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models points to a stabilizing high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula after early August's extreme heatwave, favoring partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions on August 18 with daytime highs centered near 30–32°C in the Incheon/Seoul area. Traders have clustered probabilities around 30°C (36%) and 31°C (29%) because model runs show limited afternoon heating potential from modest humidity and variable cloud cover, while steering patterns reduce the risk of stronger onshore flow. Historical August climatology for Incheon places average daily maxima near 29–31°C, providing context for why 32°C or higher remains a lower-probability tail (under 16% combined) absent unexpected clear skies or warmer advection. Updated model guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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