Recent weather model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily maximum near 18°C for Cape Town on August 18, 2026, amid post-cold-front stabilization in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Primary drivers include moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit rapid warming, persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and light to moderate winds that moderate diurnal temperature swings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, with slight upside potential if clearer skies develop or downsides if additional moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 17–18°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities as trader assessment of forecast uncertainty rather than fixed expectation. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 18 de agosto?
19°C 28%
18°C 25%
20°C 23%
17°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
13%
17°C
16%
18°C
25%
19°C
28%
20°C
23%
21°C
15%
22°C
10%
23°C ou mais
1%
19°C 28%
18°C 25%
20°C 23%
17°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
13°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
13%
17°C
$0 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$5 Vol.
10%
23°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily maximum near 18°C for Cape Town on August 18, 2026, amid post-cold-front stabilization in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Primary drivers include moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit rapid warming, persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and light to moderate winds that moderate diurnal temperature swings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, with slight upside potential if clearer skies develop or downsides if additional moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 17–18°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities as trader assessment of forecast uncertainty rather than fixed expectation. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily maximum near 18°C for Cape Town on August 18, 2026, amid post-cold-front stabilization in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Primary drivers include moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit rapid warming, persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and light to moderate winds that moderate diurnal temperature swings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, with slight upside potential if clearer skies develop or downsides if additional moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 17–18°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities as trader assessment of forecast uncertainty rather than fixed expectation. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily maximum near 18°C for Cape Town on August 18, 2026, amid post-cold-front stabilization in the region’s Mediterranean winter climate. Primary drivers include moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that limit rapid warming, persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and light to moderate winds that moderate diurnal temperature swings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, with slight upside potential if clearer skies develop or downsides if additional moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 17–18°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities as trader assessment of forecast uncertainty rather than fixed expectation. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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