Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies under a stable anticyclone over northern Italy are positioning Milan for a peak temperature near 33°C on August 18, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability. Light easterly to westerly winds of 5–10 km/h will limit boundary-layer mixing while strong August insolation and the Po Valley's topographic heat-trapping effect support afternoon maxima in the 32–34°C range, where combined market odds exceed 90%. Latest short-range guidance from BBC and Met Office runs shows consensus around 33°C with minimal model spread two days out; any slight westward shift in the ridge or earlier cloud cover could favor the 32°C outcome. Updated ECMWF and GFS ensembles expected this evening will provide the next key signal before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 18 de agosto?
33°C 42%
32°C 30%
34°C 24%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
30%
33°C
42%
34°C
24%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 30%
34°C 24%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
29°C or below
$24 Vol.
1%
30°C
$42 Vol.
1%
31°C
$8 Vol.
5%
32°C
$52 Vol.
30%
33°C
$68 Vol.
42%
34°C
$9 Vol.
24%
35°C
$16 Vol.
5%
36°C
$78 Vol.
2%
37°C
$12 Vol.
1%
38°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies under a stable anticyclone over northern Italy are positioning Milan for a peak temperature near 33°C on August 18, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability. Light easterly to westerly winds of 5–10 km/h will limit boundary-layer mixing while strong August insolation and the Po Valley's topographic heat-trapping effect support afternoon maxima in the 32–34°C range, where combined market odds exceed 90%. Latest short-range guidance from BBC and Met Office runs shows consensus around 33°C with minimal model spread two days out; any slight westward shift in the ridge or earlier cloud cover could favor the 32°C outcome. Updated ECMWF and GFS ensembles expected this evening will provide the next key signal before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$834Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies under a stable anticyclone over northern Italy are positioning Milan for a peak temperature near 33°C on August 18, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability. Light easterly to westerly winds of 5–10 km/h will limit boundary-layer mixing while strong August insolation and the Po Valley's topographic heat-trapping effect support afternoon maxima in the 32–34°C range, where combined market odds exceed 90%. Latest short-range guidance from BBC and Met Office runs shows consensus around 33°C with minimal model spread two days out; any slight westward shift in the ridge or earlier cloud cover could favor the 32°C outcome. Updated ECMWF and GFS ensembles expected this evening will provide the next key signal before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$834Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies under a stable anticyclone over northern Italy are positioning Milan for a peak temperature near 33°C on August 18, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability. Light easterly to westerly winds of 5–10 km/h will limit boundary-layer mixing while strong August insolation and the Po Valley's topographic heat-trapping effect support afternoon maxima in the 32–34°C range, where combined market odds exceed 90%. Latest short-range guidance from BBC and Met Office runs shows consensus around 33°C with minimal model spread two days out; any slight westward shift in the ridge or earlier cloud cover could favor the 32°C outcome. Updated ECMWF and GFS ensembles expected this evening will provide the next key signal before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions