Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on August 16 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, with ensembles showing close agreement amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions of high humidity and scattered thundershowers. These outcomes split trader sentiment because modest differences in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and instability favor slight cooling from rain, keeping longer-shot probabilities for 29°C or 32°C low. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 16 de agosto?
30°C 44%
31°C 40%
29°C 9%
32°C 9%
NOVO
$18,106 Vol.
NOVO
$18,106 Vol.
16 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
44%
31°C
40%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 40%
29°C 9%
32°C 9%
NOVO
$18,106 Vol.
NOVO
$18,106 Vol.
16 ago 2026
25°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,258 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,386 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,546 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,249 Vol.
44%
31°C
$5,775 Vol.
40%
32°C
$2,063 Vol.
9%
33°C
$953 Vol.
1%
34°C
$906 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on August 16 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, with ensembles showing close agreement amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions of high humidity and scattered thundershowers. These outcomes split trader sentiment because modest differences in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and instability favor slight cooling from rain, keeping longer-shot probabilities for 29°C or 32°C low. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$18,106Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on August 16 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, with ensembles showing close agreement amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions of high humidity and scattered thundershowers. These outcomes split trader sentiment because modest differences in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and instability favor slight cooling from rain, keeping longer-shot probabilities for 29°C or 32°C low. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,106Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on August 16 most likely between 30°C and 31°C, with ensembles showing close agreement amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions of high humidity and scattered thundershowers. These outcomes split trader sentiment because modest differences in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and instability favor slight cooling from rain, keeping longer-shot probabilities for 29°C or 32°C low. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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