Trader consensus around 24°C for Chengdu’s August 18 maximum reflects the latest forecast consensus from models such as those informing timeanddate and BBC outlooks, which project thundershowers, overcast skies, and highs of 26–29°C amid the ongoing East Asian monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29–32°C, with recent model runs emphasizing increased precipitation probabilities over the Sichuan Basin. These conditions create a narrow window for the daily high, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range while leaving limited room for warmer outcomes if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. Updated NMC or CMA guidance on the 17th–18th will be the next key input before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 18 de agosto?
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
18%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
18%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 24°C for Chengdu’s August 18 maximum reflects the latest forecast consensus from models such as those informing timeanddate and BBC outlooks, which project thundershowers, overcast skies, and highs of 26–29°C amid the ongoing East Asian monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall are expected to limit daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29–32°C, with recent model runs emphasizing increased precipitation probabilities over the Sichuan Basin. These conditions create a narrow window for the daily high, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable range while leaving limited room for warmer outcomes if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. Updated NMC or CMA guidance on the 17th–18th will be the next key input before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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