Recent KNMI and ECMWF model consensus indicates a maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting cooler North Sea air masses under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. This post-heatwave pattern, with daytime maxima suppressed below seasonal peaks near 23°C, underpins the market’s emphasis on 21°C (42% implied probability) ahead of 22°C or 20°C. Light winds and potential for lingering marine stratus further reduce diurnal temperature range, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide climatological context. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine landfall timing of any frontal systems.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 20 de agosto?
21°C 42%
20°C 25%
22°C 22%
19°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
25%
21°C
42%
22°C
22%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 42%
20°C 25%
22°C 22%
19°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
15°C or below
$65 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$202 Vol.
1%
18°C
$163 Vol.
3%
19°C
$78 Vol.
7%
20°C
$219 Vol.
25%
21°C
$229 Vol.
42%
22°C
$409 Vol.
22%
23°C
$99 Vol.
6%
24°C
$15 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KNMI and ECMWF model consensus indicates a maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting cooler North Sea air masses under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. This post-heatwave pattern, with daytime maxima suppressed below seasonal peaks near 23°C, underpins the market’s emphasis on 21°C (42% implied probability) ahead of 22°C or 20°C. Light winds and potential for lingering marine stratus further reduce diurnal temperature range, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide climatological context. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine landfall timing of any frontal systems.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,488Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KNMI and ECMWF model consensus indicates a maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting cooler North Sea air masses under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. This post-heatwave pattern, with daytime maxima suppressed below seasonal peaks near 23°C, underpins the market’s emphasis on 21°C (42% implied probability) ahead of 22°C or 20°C. Light winds and potential for lingering marine stratus further reduce diurnal temperature range, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide climatological context. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine landfall timing of any frontal systems.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,488Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KNMI and ECMWF model consensus indicates a maximum of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting cooler North Sea air masses under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. This post-heatwave pattern, with daytime maxima suppressed below seasonal peaks near 23°C, underpins the market’s emphasis on 21°C (42% implied probability) ahead of 22°C or 20°C. Light winds and potential for lingering marine stratus further reduce diurnal temperature range, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide climatological context. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine landfall timing of any frontal systems.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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