Recent scientific assessments, including UNEP’s 2025 Emissions Gap Report and analyses showing the planet on track for a multi-decadal 1.5°C breach before 2030, reinforce the Climate Clock’s current trajectory based on the Mercator Research Institute’s carbon budget and steady ~42 Gt annual CO₂ emissions. The prominent clock has not undergone a major revision since late 2023, when it shifted to a ~2030 deadline using IPCC AR6-era remaining budget estimates; emission trends and observational data through mid-2026 show no abrupt shift sufficient to prompt an immediate recalculation. Traders see limited near-term catalyst for change by year-end 2026 absent a new comprehensive carbon budget update or pronounced deviation in global emissions data from agencies like the Global Carbon Project.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO prazo de 1,5°C do Relógio Climático mudará até...?
O prazo de 1,5°C do Relógio Climático mudará até...?
0% chance
NOVO
NOVO
1 jan 2027
0% chance
NOVO
NOVO
1 jan 2027
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent scientific assessments, including UNEP’s 2025 Emissions Gap Report and analyses showing the planet on track for a multi-decadal 1.5°C breach before 2030, reinforce the Climate Clock’s current trajectory based on the Mercator Research Institute’s carbon budget and steady ~42 Gt annual CO₂ emissions. The prominent clock has not undergone a major revision since late 2023, when it shifted to a ~2030 deadline using IPCC AR6-era remaining budget estimates; emission trends and observational data through mid-2026 show no abrupt shift sufficient to prompt an immediate recalculation. Traders see limited near-term catalyst for change by year-end 2026 absent a new comprehensive carbon budget update or pronounced deviation in global emissions data from agencies like the Global Carbon Project.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Volume
$100Data de Término
31 dez 2029Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://climateclock.worldResolver
0x65070BE91...Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent scientific assessments, including UNEP’s 2025 Emissions Gap Report and analyses showing the planet on track for a multi-decadal 1.5°C breach before 2030, reinforce the Climate Clock’s current trajectory based on the Mercator Research Institute’s carbon budget and steady ~42 Gt annual CO₂ emissions. The prominent clock has not undergone a major revision since late 2023, when it shifted to a ~2030 deadline using IPCC AR6-era remaining budget estimates; emission trends and observational data through mid-2026 show no abrupt shift sufficient to prompt an immediate recalculation. Traders see limited near-term catalyst for change by year-end 2026 absent a new comprehensive carbon budget update or pronounced deviation in global emissions data from agencies like the Global Carbon Project.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
Volume
$100Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://climateclock.worldResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent scientific assessments, including UNEP’s 2025 Emissions Gap Report and analyses showing the planet on track for a multi-decadal 1.5°C breach before 2030, reinforce the Climate Clock’s current trajectory based on the Mercator Research Institute’s carbon budget and steady ~42 Gt annual CO₂ emissions. The prominent clock has not undergone a major revision since late 2023, when it shifted to a ~2030 deadline using IPCC AR6-era remaining budget estimates; emission trends and observational data through mid-2026 show no abrupt shift sufficient to prompt an immediate recalculation. Traders see limited near-term catalyst for change by year-end 2026 absent a new comprehensive carbon budget update or pronounced deviation in global emissions data from agencies like the Global Carbon Project.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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