**Forecast consensus from multiple models and official sources centers on a daily high of 34–36°C for Wuhan on August 22, 2026, directly explaining the market’s concentration on these three outcomes (combined ~86% implied probability).** Chinese Meteorological Administration and international guidance (including Met Office and regional stations) project 34–35°C under continued influence of the subtropical high, with north to northeast winds of 2–3 Beaufort and limited afternoon convective activity. Recent high-temperature yellow warnings highlight persistent heat, while scattered showers or thunderstorms—expected mainly after peak heating—introduce modest uncertainty that caps upside risk above 36°C and supports the 34°C and 35°C brackets. Model runs show low dispersion for this short-range period, with historical August climatology (typical highs near 32–33°C) underscoring the current anomaly but not altering the near-term trajectory. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the 22nd will determine final resolution within the narrow 34–36°C window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 22 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 22 de agosto?
35°C 41%
36°C 29%
34°C 18%
37°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
18%
35°C
41%
36°C
29%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 41%
36°C 29%
34°C 18%
37°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
29°C or below
$331 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$330 Vol.
1%
32°C
$872 Vol.
1%
33°C
$422 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,383 Vol.
18%
35°C
$534 Vol.
41%
36°C
$456 Vol.
29%
37°C
$416 Vol.
6%
38°C
$260 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$235 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models and official sources centers on a daily high of 34–36°C for Wuhan on August 22, 2026, directly explaining the market’s concentration on these three outcomes (combined ~86% implied probability).** Chinese Meteorological Administration and international guidance (including Met Office and regional stations) project 34–35°C under continued influence of the subtropical high, with north to northeast winds of 2–3 Beaufort and limited afternoon convective activity. Recent high-temperature yellow warnings highlight persistent heat, while scattered showers or thunderstorms—expected mainly after peak heating—introduce modest uncertainty that caps upside risk above 36°C and supports the 34°C and 35°C brackets. Model runs show low dispersion for this short-range period, with historical August climatology (typical highs near 32–33°C) underscoring the current anomaly but not altering the near-term trajectory. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the 22nd will determine final resolution within the narrow 34–36°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,560Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models and official sources centers on a daily high of 34–36°C for Wuhan on August 22, 2026, directly explaining the market’s concentration on these three outcomes (combined ~86% implied probability).** Chinese Meteorological Administration and international guidance (including Met Office and regional stations) project 34–35°C under continued influence of the subtropical high, with north to northeast winds of 2–3 Beaufort and limited afternoon convective activity. Recent high-temperature yellow warnings highlight persistent heat, while scattered showers or thunderstorms—expected mainly after peak heating—introduce modest uncertainty that caps upside risk above 36°C and supports the 34°C and 35°C brackets. Model runs show low dispersion for this short-range period, with historical August climatology (typical highs near 32–33°C) underscoring the current anomaly but not altering the near-term trajectory. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the 22nd will determine final resolution within the narrow 34–36°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,560Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models and official sources centers on a daily high of 34–36°C for Wuhan on August 22, 2026, directly explaining the market’s concentration on these three outcomes (combined ~86% implied probability).** Chinese Meteorological Administration and international guidance (including Met Office and regional stations) project 34–35°C under continued influence of the subtropical high, with north to northeast winds of 2–3 Beaufort and limited afternoon convective activity. Recent high-temperature yellow warnings highlight persistent heat, while scattered showers or thunderstorms—expected mainly after peak heating—introduce modest uncertainty that caps upside risk above 36°C and supports the 34°C and 35°C brackets. Model runs show low dispersion for this short-range period, with historical August climatology (typical highs near 32–33°C) underscoring the current anomaly but not altering the near-term trajectory. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the 22nd will determine final resolution within the narrow 34–36°C window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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