Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow over Metro Manila is expected to sustain cloudy skies and scattered showers on August 21, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near the 31–32°C levels that dominate market-implied odds. PAGASA outlooks project a 32°C high with 60% rain probability, consistent with climatological August averages of 30–31°C and recent model guidance showing highs between 28.5–32.3°C. Urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, while any localized clearing could briefly push readings to 33°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 21 de agosto?
32°C 42%
31°C 37%
33°C 17%
30°C 5%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
37%
32°C
42%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 37%
33°C 17%
30°C 5%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
37%
32°C
42%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow over Metro Manila is expected to sustain cloudy skies and scattered showers on August 21, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near the 31–32°C levels that dominate market-implied odds. PAGASA outlooks project a 32°C high with 60% rain probability, consistent with climatological August averages of 30–31°C and recent model guidance showing highs between 28.5–32.3°C. Urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, while any localized clearing could briefly push readings to 33°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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