Forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a typical late-August subtropical pattern for Taipei, with daytime maxima likely peaking near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit strong solar heating while maintaining high humidity and heat indices above 38°C. The closely matched market-implied odds for 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C reflect remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation onset, and localized urban warming rather than any extreme heat or cooling signal. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–33°C, with brief afternoon convection often capping peaks within a 1–2°C range. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering flow and instability details that determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 23 de agosto?
32°C 27%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C 19%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
27%
33°C
21%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C 19%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
27%
33°C
21%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a typical late-August subtropical pattern for Taipei, with daytime maxima likely peaking near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit strong solar heating while maintaining high humidity and heat indices above 38°C. The closely matched market-implied odds for 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C reflect remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation onset, and localized urban warming rather than any extreme heat or cooling signal. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–33°C, with brief afternoon convection often capping peaks within a 1–2°C range. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering flow and instability details that determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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