Tight clustering of numerical weather prediction ensembles around 22–23°C drives the closely matched market odds for Moscow’s August 22 maximum, reflecting typical late-summer moderation after earlier high-pressure warmth. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic air advection or weak frontal passage, each capable of shifting the peak by roughly 1°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while short-range model runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS show limited spread. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus therefore embeds this inherent forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 22 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 22 de agosto?
22°C 40%
23°C 36%
21°C 12%
24°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
40%
23°C
36%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 36%
21°C 12%
24°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
17°C or below
$152 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$252 Vol.
4%
21°C
$393 Vol.
12%
22°C
$253 Vol.
40%
23°C
$302 Vol.
36%
24°C
$355 Vol.
11%
25°C
$292 Vol.
3%
26°C
$119 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tight clustering of numerical weather prediction ensembles around 22–23°C drives the closely matched market odds for Moscow’s August 22 maximum, reflecting typical late-summer moderation after earlier high-pressure warmth. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic air advection or weak frontal passage, each capable of shifting the peak by roughly 1°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while short-range model runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS show limited spread. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus therefore embeds this inherent forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,403Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tight clustering of numerical weather prediction ensembles around 22–23°C drives the closely matched market odds for Moscow’s August 22 maximum, reflecting typical late-summer moderation after earlier high-pressure warmth. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic air advection or weak frontal passage, each capable of shifting the peak by roughly 1°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while short-range model runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS show limited spread. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus therefore embeds this inherent forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,403Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight clustering of numerical weather prediction ensembles around 22–23°C drives the closely matched market odds for Moscow’s August 22 maximum, reflecting typical late-summer moderation after earlier high-pressure warmth. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic air advection or weak frontal passage, each capable of shifting the peak by roughly 1°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while short-range model runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS show limited spread. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus therefore embeds this inherent forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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