Recent elevated mosquito surveillance in New York City, with 1,669 West Nile virus-positive pools detected through mid-September 2026—nearly double prior-year levels at comparable dates—supports trader consensus around 20–34 neuroinvasive cases. Official NYC Health data show 13 confirmed West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases year-to-date, consistent with transmission dynamics during the June–October mosquito season and historical patterns where recent five-year averages reached 31 annually after earlier baselines near 16. National ArboNET reporting of heightened activity elsewhere reinforces local risk without indicating an extreme outbreak, while vector control and public awareness measures introduce uncertainty around final counts. Upcoming surveillance updates through October will clarify whether totals remain within the market-implied range or shift higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos casos de doenças neuroinvasivas do Nilo Ocidental serão relatados entre os residentes da cidade de Nova York em 2026?
Quantos casos de doenças neuroinvasivas do Nilo Ocidental serão relatados entre os residentes da cidade de Nova York em 2026?
20 a 34 54%
35 a 49 27%
50 ou mais 7.9%
Menos de 20 5.8%
$12,338 Vol.
$12,338 Vol.
31 mar 2027
Menos de 20
6%
20 a 34
54%
35 a 49
27%
50 ou mais
8%
20 a 34 54%
35 a 49 27%
50 ou mais 7.9%
Menos de 20 5.8%
$12,338 Vol.
$12,338 Vol.
31 mar 2027
Menos de 20
$3,969 Vol.
6%
20 a 34
$5,080 Vol.
54%
35 a 49
$2,722 Vol.
27%
50 ou mais
$566 Vol.
8%
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.Recent elevated mosquito surveillance in New York City, with 1,669 West Nile virus-positive pools detected through mid-September 2026—nearly double prior-year levels at comparable dates—supports trader consensus around 20–34 neuroinvasive cases. Official NYC Health data show 13 confirmed West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases year-to-date, consistent with transmission dynamics during the June–October mosquito season and historical patterns where recent five-year averages reached 31 annually after earlier baselines near 16. National ArboNET reporting of heightened activity elsewhere reinforces local risk without indicating an extreme outbreak, while vector control and public awareness measures introduce uncertainty around final counts. Upcoming surveillance updates through October will clarify whether totals remain within the market-implied range or shift higher.
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$12,338Data de Término
31 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.Recent elevated mosquito surveillance in New York City, with 1,669 West Nile virus-positive pools detected through mid-September 2026—nearly double prior-year levels at comparable dates—supports trader consensus around 20–34 neuroinvasive cases. Official NYC Health data show 13 confirmed West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases year-to-date, consistent with transmission dynamics during the June–October mosquito season and historical patterns where recent five-year averages reached 31 annually after earlier baselines near 16. National ArboNET reporting of heightened activity elsewhere reinforces local risk without indicating an extreme outbreak, while vector control and public awareness measures introduce uncertainty around final counts. Upcoming surveillance updates through October will clarify whether totals remain within the market-implied range or shift higher.
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Volume
$12,338Data de Término
31 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent elevated mosquito surveillance in New York City, with 1,669 West Nile virus-positive pools detected through mid-September 2026—nearly double prior-year levels at comparable dates—supports trader consensus around 20–34 neuroinvasive cases. Official NYC Health data show 13 confirmed West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases year-to-date, consistent with transmission dynamics during the June–October mosquito season and historical patterns where recent five-year averages reached 31 annually after earlier baselines near 16. National ArboNET reporting of heightened activity elsewhere reinforces local risk without indicating an extreme outbreak, while vector control and public awareness measures introduce uncertainty around final counts. Upcoming surveillance updates through October will clarify whether totals remain within the market-implied range or shift higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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