Forecast models for Chengdu on August 22 point to an overnight minimum near 23–24°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon reduces temperature drops after sunset, while urban heat effects in the Sichuan basin further moderate lows relative to rural surroundings. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show limited day-to-day variability at this stage, with any heavier rainfall or clearer breaks as the main variables that could shift the realized minimum by 1°C in either direction. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty range between the two leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 22 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 22 de agosto?
24°C 43%
23°C 38%
22°C 12%
25°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
38%
24°C
43%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 43%
23°C 38%
22°C 12%
25°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
18°C or below
$30 Vol.
1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
1%
20°C
$46 Vol.
2%
21°C
$51 Vol.
3%
22°C
$20 Vol.
12%
23°C
$6 Vol.
38%
24°C
$5 Vol.
43%
25°C
$5 Vol.
11%
26°C
$5 Vol.
7%
27°C
$76 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$23 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 22 point to an overnight minimum near 23–24°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon reduces temperature drops after sunset, while urban heat effects in the Sichuan basin further moderate lows relative to rural surroundings. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show limited day-to-day variability at this stage, with any heavier rainfall or clearer breaks as the main variables that could shift the realized minimum by 1°C in either direction. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty range between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$296Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 22 point to an overnight minimum near 23–24°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon reduces temperature drops after sunset, while urban heat effects in the Sichuan basin further moderate lows relative to rural surroundings. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show limited day-to-day variability at this stage, with any heavier rainfall or clearer breaks as the main variables that could shift the realized minimum by 1°C in either direction. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty range between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$296Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on August 22 point to an overnight minimum near 23–24°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon reduces temperature drops after sunset, while urban heat effects in the Sichuan basin further moderate lows relative to rural surroundings. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show limited day-to-day variability at this stage, with any heavier rainfall or clearer breaks as the main variables that could shift the realized minimum by 1°C in either direction. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty range between the two leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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