Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks points to Beijing highs of 30–33°C on August 25 amid late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover creating the tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Late-August cooling trends typically moderate peaks from July’s extremes, while high humidity and urban heat-island effects can push afternoon readings higher if skies clear; precipitation timing remains the key uncertainty, as convective activity from the East Asian monsoon can suppress maxima by several degrees. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 25 de agosto?
32°C 30%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
30°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
24%
32°C
30%
33°C
22%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
30°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
24%
32°C
30%
33°C
22%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks points to Beijing highs of 30–33°C on August 25 amid late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover creating the tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Late-August cooling trends typically moderate peaks from July’s extremes, while high humidity and urban heat-island effects can push afternoon readings higher if skies clear; precipitation timing remains the key uncertainty, as convective activity from the East Asian monsoon can suppress maxima by several degrees. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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