Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 27–31°C on August 23 under a broad low-pressure trough promoting southwesterly flow, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with the tightly clustered market odds around 30–32°C, where small variations in shower timing, cloud thickness, or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Typical late-August conditions feature highs near 31°C, but enhanced instability from the trough and potential tropical influences introduce forecast spread. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will clarify whether breaks in cloud cover allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 23 de agosto?
31°C 31%
32°C 29%
30°C 21%
33°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
29%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
32°C 29%
30°C 21%
33°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
25°C or below
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$313 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,053 Vol.
3%
29°C
$516 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,064 Vol.
21%
31°C
$1,094 Vol.
31%
32°C
$497 Vol.
29%
33°C
$1,264 Vol.
12%
34°C
$234 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$368 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 27–31°C on August 23 under a broad low-pressure trough promoting southwesterly flow, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with the tightly clustered market odds around 30–32°C, where small variations in shower timing, cloud thickness, or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Typical late-August conditions feature highs near 31°C, but enhanced instability from the trough and potential tropical influences introduce forecast spread. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will clarify whether breaks in cloud cover allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,469Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 27–31°C on August 23 under a broad low-pressure trough promoting southwesterly flow, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with the tightly clustered market odds around 30–32°C, where small variations in shower timing, cloud thickness, or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Typical late-August conditions feature highs near 31°C, but enhanced instability from the trough and potential tropical influences introduce forecast spread. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will clarify whether breaks in cloud cover allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,469Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 27–31°C on August 23 under a broad low-pressure trough promoting southwesterly flow, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with the tightly clustered market odds around 30–32°C, where small variations in shower timing, cloud thickness, or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Typical late-August conditions feature highs near 31°C, but enhanced instability from the trough and potential tropical influences introduce forecast spread. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will clarify whether breaks in cloud cover allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions