Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a peak temperature of 28–29°C in Madrid on August 25 under stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and limited cloud cover. These closely matched market odds reflect ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction runs, where small differences in boundary-layer heating and urban heat effects determine whether the daily maximum registers at the lower or higher end of that narrow range. Late-August climatology shows typical highs near 31°C declining seasonally, with current observations indicating moderation from earlier heat. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 25 de agosto?
29°C 43%
28°C 41%
27°C 11%
30°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
41%
29°C
43%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 41%
27°C 11%
30°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
24°C or below
$439 Vol.
1%
25°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$804 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,483 Vol.
11%
28°C
$1,441 Vol.
41%
29°C
$2,314 Vol.
43%
30°C
$335 Vol.
6%
31°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a peak temperature of 28–29°C in Madrid on August 25 under stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and limited cloud cover. These closely matched market odds reflect ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction runs, where small differences in boundary-layer heating and urban heat effects determine whether the daily maximum registers at the lower or higher end of that narrow range. Late-August climatology shows typical highs near 31°C declining seasonally, with current observations indicating moderation from earlier heat. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,757Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a peak temperature of 28–29°C in Madrid on August 25 under stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and limited cloud cover. These closely matched market odds reflect ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction runs, where small differences in boundary-layer heating and urban heat effects determine whether the daily maximum registers at the lower or higher end of that narrow range. Late-August climatology shows typical highs near 31°C declining seasonally, with current observations indicating moderation from earlier heat. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,757Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a peak temperature of 28–29°C in Madrid on August 25 under stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and limited cloud cover. These closely matched market odds reflect ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction runs, where small differences in boundary-layer heating and urban heat effects determine whether the daily maximum registers at the lower or higher end of that narrow range. Late-August climatology shows typical highs near 31°C declining seasonally, with current observations indicating moderation from earlier heat. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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