Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This aligns with the market's tight spread between the 78-79°F (37.5%) and 80-81°F (44.5%) bins, as recent model runs show limited spread around the upper 70s to low 80s. Above-normal moisture from prior days and a weak frontal boundary introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings, while the climatological average high of 82°F provides context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 83°F. Updated afternoon model guidance and official observations will be key near-term drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 24 de agosto?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 38%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 38%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$232 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$231 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$362 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$745 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$2,827 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$826 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$159 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$423 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This aligns with the market's tight spread between the 78-79°F (37.5%) and 80-81°F (44.5%) bins, as recent model runs show limited spread around the upper 70s to low 80s. Above-normal moisture from prior days and a weak frontal boundary introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings, while the climatological average high of 82°F provides context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 83°F. Updated afternoon model guidance and official observations will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,039Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This aligns with the market's tight spread between the 78-79°F (37.5%) and 80-81°F (44.5%) bins, as recent model runs show limited spread around the upper 70s to low 80s. Above-normal moisture from prior days and a weak frontal boundary introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings, while the climatological average high of 82°F provides context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 83°F. Updated afternoon model guidance and official observations will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,039Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This aligns with the market's tight spread between the 78-79°F (37.5%) and 80-81°F (44.5%) bins, as recent model runs show limited spread around the upper 70s to low 80s. Above-normal moisture from prior days and a weak frontal boundary introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings, while the climatological average high of 82°F provides context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 83°F. Updated afternoon model guidance and official observations will be key near-term drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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