Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for Shenzhen's August 25 maximum near 30–32°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge interacting with monsoon moisture. Scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity (70–85%) are expected to limit insolation and surface heating, producing the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging 31–32°C while recent runs show minor divergence in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 25 de agosto?
32°C 30%
31°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
30%
33°C
15%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$10 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$35 Vol.
26%
32°C
$35 Vol.
30%
33°C
$0 Vol.
15%
34°C
$200 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for Shenzhen's August 25 maximum near 30–32°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge interacting with monsoon moisture. Scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity (70–85%) are expected to limit insolation and surface heating, producing the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging 31–32°C while recent runs show minor divergence in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$195Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for Shenzhen's August 25 maximum near 30–32°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge interacting with monsoon moisture. Scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity (70–85%) are expected to limit insolation and surface heating, producing the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging 31–32°C while recent runs show minor divergence in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$195Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for Shenzhen's August 25 maximum near 30–32°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge interacting with monsoon moisture. Scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity (70–85%) are expected to limit insolation and surface heating, producing the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging 31–32°C while recent runs show minor divergence in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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