**Subtropical high pressure dominating eastern China is sustaining hot, humid conditions across the Sichuan Basin, with official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Station projecting daytime maxima near 36–37°C for August 25.** Model consensus points to limited cloud cover and weak steering flow allowing peak surface heating, though scattered afternoon convection could locally suppress temperatures by a degree or two depending on timing and coverage. Historical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 34°C with a tail extending above 38°C during strong ridge episodes, and the narrow spread in current market-implied probabilities around 36–37°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects rather than any single dominant signal. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and next-day observational adjustments from regional stations will likely tighten this distribution before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 25 de agosto?
36°C 31%
37°C 28%
35°C 19%
40°C or higher 16%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
13%
35°C
19%
36°C
31%
37°C
28%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
16%
36°C 31%
37°C 28%
35°C 19%
40°C or higher 16%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
30°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$72 Vol.
2%
32°C
$20 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$32 Vol.
13%
35°C
$20 Vol.
19%
36°C
$0 Vol.
31%
37°C
$25 Vol.
28%
38°C
$49 Vol.
14%
39°C
$432 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$5 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical high pressure dominating eastern China is sustaining hot, humid conditions across the Sichuan Basin, with official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Station projecting daytime maxima near 36–37°C for August 25.** Model consensus points to limited cloud cover and weak steering flow allowing peak surface heating, though scattered afternoon convection could locally suppress temperatures by a degree or two depending on timing and coverage. Historical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 34°C with a tail extending above 38°C during strong ridge episodes, and the narrow spread in current market-implied probabilities around 36–37°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects rather than any single dominant signal. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and next-day observational adjustments from regional stations will likely tighten this distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$659Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical high pressure dominating eastern China is sustaining hot, humid conditions across the Sichuan Basin, with official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Station projecting daytime maxima near 36–37°C for August 25.** Model consensus points to limited cloud cover and weak steering flow allowing peak surface heating, though scattered afternoon convection could locally suppress temperatures by a degree or two depending on timing and coverage. Historical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 34°C with a tail extending above 38°C during strong ridge episodes, and the narrow spread in current market-implied probabilities around 36–37°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects rather than any single dominant signal. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and next-day observational adjustments from regional stations will likely tighten this distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$659Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical high pressure dominating eastern China is sustaining hot, humid conditions across the Sichuan Basin, with official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Station projecting daytime maxima near 36–37°C for August 25.** Model consensus points to limited cloud cover and weak steering flow allowing peak surface heating, though scattered afternoon convection could locally suppress temperatures by a degree or two depending on timing and coverage. Historical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 34°C with a tail extending above 38°C during strong ridge episodes, and the narrow spread in current market-implied probabilities around 36–37°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects rather than any single dominant signal. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and next-day observational adjustments from regional stations will likely tighten this distribution before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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