Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and international agencies converge on a maximum of 14–16 °C for Wellington on 23 August, placing the market’s 15 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus. Mild northwesterly flow ahead of a front is expected to lift daytime temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 12–13 °C, while embedded showers and subsequent clearing limit further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small probabilities assigned to 13 °C or 17 °C-plus outcomes should the front arrive earlier or winds turn more southerly. Updated model runs and MetService guidance issued within the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 23 de agosto?
15°C 51%
14°C 27%
16°C 19%
13°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
26%
15°C
51%
16°C
22%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 51%
14°C 27%
16°C 19%
13°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
9°C or below
$107 Vol.
1%
10°C
$95 Vol.
1%
11°C
$95 Vol.
1%
12°C
$95 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C
$17 Vol.
26%
15°C
$29 Vol.
51%
16°C
$36 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$20 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$95 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and international agencies converge on a maximum of 14–16 °C for Wellington on 23 August, placing the market’s 15 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus. Mild northwesterly flow ahead of a front is expected to lift daytime temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 12–13 °C, while embedded showers and subsequent clearing limit further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small probabilities assigned to 13 °C or 17 °C-plus outcomes should the front arrive earlier or winds turn more southerly. Updated model runs and MetService guidance issued within the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$589Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and international agencies converge on a maximum of 14–16 °C for Wellington on 23 August, placing the market’s 15 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus. Mild northwesterly flow ahead of a front is expected to lift daytime temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 12–13 °C, while embedded showers and subsequent clearing limit further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small probabilities assigned to 13 °C or 17 °C-plus outcomes should the front arrive earlier or winds turn more southerly. Updated model runs and MetService guidance issued within the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$589Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and international agencies converge on a maximum of 14–16 °C for Wellington on 23 August, placing the market’s 15 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus. Mild northwesterly flow ahead of a front is expected to lift daytime temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 12–13 °C, while embedded showers and subsequent clearing limit further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small probabilities assigned to 13 °C or 17 °C-plus outcomes should the front arrive earlier or winds turn more southerly. Updated model runs and MetService guidance issued within the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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