Recent forecasts from global and regional models show moderate uncertainty for Cape Town's August 26 maximum, with ensemble outputs clustering in the 21–27 °C range amid late-winter high-pressure ridging and southeasterly flow. Clearer skies and lighter winds in some runs support peaks near 25–26 °C, while increased cloud cover or stronger onshore flow in others caps values closer to 22–24 °C. Historical August climatology (typical highs 18–22 °C) places current guidance slightly above normal, yet day-to-day variability remains high. Market-implied odds reflect this spread, with the 24–26 °C cluster commanding the largest share as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS guidance ahead of final model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 26 de agosto?
25°C 33%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
23°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
18%
25°C
33%
26°C
19%
27°C
12%
28°C
10%
29°C
8%
30°C ou mais
2%
25°C 33%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
23°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$42 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
33%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$40 Vol.
8%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models show moderate uncertainty for Cape Town's August 26 maximum, with ensemble outputs clustering in the 21–27 °C range amid late-winter high-pressure ridging and southeasterly flow. Clearer skies and lighter winds in some runs support peaks near 25–26 °C, while increased cloud cover or stronger onshore flow in others caps values closer to 22–24 °C. Historical August climatology (typical highs 18–22 °C) places current guidance slightly above normal, yet day-to-day variability remains high. Market-implied odds reflect this spread, with the 24–26 °C cluster commanding the largest share as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS guidance ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$92Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models show moderate uncertainty for Cape Town's August 26 maximum, with ensemble outputs clustering in the 21–27 °C range amid late-winter high-pressure ridging and southeasterly flow. Clearer skies and lighter winds in some runs support peaks near 25–26 °C, while increased cloud cover or stronger onshore flow in others caps values closer to 22–24 °C. Historical August climatology (typical highs 18–22 °C) places current guidance slightly above normal, yet day-to-day variability remains high. Market-implied odds reflect this spread, with the 24–26 °C cluster commanding the largest share as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS guidance ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models show moderate uncertainty for Cape Town's August 26 maximum, with ensemble outputs clustering in the 21–27 °C range amid late-winter high-pressure ridging and southeasterly flow. Clearer skies and lighter winds in some runs support peaks near 25–26 °C, while increased cloud cover or stronger onshore flow in others caps values closer to 22–24 °C. Historical August climatology (typical highs 18–22 °C) places current guidance slightly above normal, yet day-to-day variability remains high. Market-implied odds reflect this spread, with the 24–26 °C cluster commanding the largest share as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS guidance ahead of final model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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