Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS place Miami’s August 23 high near 89–92 °F amid persistent heat and humidity, yet afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms introduce meaningful uncertainty. Thunderstorm timing and coverage can deliver rain-cooled air that caps afternoon peaks or allow clearer slots for readings into the low 90s, explaining why market-implied odds cluster evenly across the 84–93 °F bands while assigning minimal probability to 94 °F or higher. Typical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 89 °F with limited variance absent major synoptic shifts, and current model consensus offers no strong signal for extreme deviation before the 23rd.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 23 de agosto?
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 41%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 7%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
2%
98°F ou mais
1%
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 41%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 7%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
2%
98°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS place Miami’s August 23 high near 89–92 °F amid persistent heat and humidity, yet afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms introduce meaningful uncertainty. Thunderstorm timing and coverage can deliver rain-cooled air that caps afternoon peaks or allow clearer slots for readings into the low 90s, explaining why market-implied odds cluster evenly across the 84–93 °F bands while assigning minimal probability to 94 °F or higher. Typical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 89 °F with limited variance absent major synoptic shifts, and current model consensus offers no strong signal for extreme deviation before the 23rd.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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