Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 11 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 11 de julho?
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
NOVO
$13,032 Vol.
NOVO
$13,032 Vol.
11 jul 2026
27°C or below
10%
28°C
13%
29°C
21%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
NOVO
$13,032 Vol.
NOVO
$13,032 Vol.
11 jul 2026
27°C or below
$1,423 Vol.
10%
28°C
$777 Vol.
13%
29°C
$1,509 Vol.
21%
30°C
$920 Vol.
25%
31°C
$2,431 Vol.
21%
32°C
$2,212 Vol.
8%
33°C
$1,788 Vol.
3%
34°C
$618 Vol.
1%
35°C
$370 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$552 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,032Data de Término
11 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,032Data de Término
11 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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