Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a July 11 high near 32–33°C for Karachi, establishing the market’s tight clustering between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity from the advancing southwest monsoon are capping daytime heating, while partial cloud cover and light winds introduce modest day-to-day variability. Historical July averages hover around 31–32°C, yet brief clearing or delayed showers could push readings a degree higher. Traders weigh the narrow spread against model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength, with new guidance expected within 48 hours that may further tighten or widen the implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi em 11 de julho?
33°C 43%
34°C 35%
35°C ou mais 10.8%
32°C 11%
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
43%
34°C
35%
35°C ou mais
11%
33°C 43%
34°C 35%
35°C ou mais 10.8%
32°C 11%
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
43%
34°C
35%
35°C ou mais
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a July 11 high near 32–33°C for Karachi, establishing the market’s tight clustering between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity from the advancing southwest monsoon are capping daytime heating, while partial cloud cover and light winds introduce modest day-to-day variability. Historical July averages hover around 31–32°C, yet brief clearing or delayed showers could push readings a degree higher. Traders weigh the narrow spread against model uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength, with new guidance expected within 48 hours that may further tighten or widen the implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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