Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 11 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 11 de julho?
32°C 26%
31°C 22%
33°C 17%
30°C 11%
NOVO
$11,772 Vol.
NOVO
$11,772 Vol.
11 jul 2026
29°C or below
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
22%
32°C
26%
33°C
17%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 26%
31°C 22%
33°C 17%
30°C 11%
NOVO
$11,772 Vol.
NOVO
$11,772 Vol.
11 jul 2026
29°C or below
$783 Vol.
5%
30°C
$479 Vol.
11%
31°C
$471 Vol.
22%
32°C
$850 Vol.
26%
33°C
$3,396 Vol.
17%
34°C
$2,489 Vol.
10%
35°C
$1,197 Vol.
4%
36°C
$168 Vol.
1%
37°C
$339 Vol.
1%
38°C
$751 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$849 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,772Data de Término
11 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,772Data de Término
11 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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