Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 11 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 11 de julho?
29°C 42%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
11 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
26%
29°C
42%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 42%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
11 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$367 Vol.
1%
27°C
$488 Vol.
3%
28°C
$832 Vol.
26%
29°C
$3,382 Vol.
42%
30°C
$314 Vol.
22%
31°C
$303 Vol.
5%
32°C
$837 Vol.
3%
33°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
34°C ou mais
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,575Data de Término
11 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,575Data de Término
11 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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